> This makes all the difference between their modern evolutionary examples
> we rely on every day like computer weather (or climate) models vs. similar
> computer models of social behavior. You will lose betting against the
> weather prediction tomorrow, but you have as good chance as anybody
> predicting what will happen in the world next year,
>

Watched a weather forecaster give the weather forecast for the day and 15
minutes later revised it because "I just looked out the window". So don't
bet the farm on either models (garbage in and model maker biases) or any
science where the variables are not understood.

So for all beekeepers, the official scientific US climate model first
predicted an over all warm winter for all the US but is now moving toward
what the Farmer's Almanac predicted, which was warm in the east and cold in
the west until Jan and flip to warm in west and cold in east, especially
southern states. Here in Maine we will have an average winter from here on
in (low 30s day and low teens at night) which means a January or early
February thaw sometime when the bees can fly and poop, which did not happen
last year.

Bill Truesdell
Bath, Maine


>
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