An oversimplification, but likely correct for most situations:
Regarding mite immigration (or horizontal transfer) and mite
virulence: It may be that even in isolated situations very low
horizontal transfer is high enough to prevent avirulent mites from
becoming the predominant genotype. For both Gotland bees early on,
and more recently for Arnot forest bees there is very little evidence
that they are doing well because of mite avirulence.
Regarding mite immigration and swamping of any genetic resistance:
There may be different outcomes in terms of mite population growth
depending on bee genotype. In highly susceptible colonies, the added
immigrant mites, put through unchecked reproduction may greatly
increase mite densities, shorten survival, etc. In highly resistant
colonies, constant high immigration can potentially be dealt with. As
risky as modelling is, it may not be that difficult to show an
inconsequential effect of even hundreds or thousands of mites coming
into a colony that targets mites before or in their first cycle of
reproduction. What some report as "mite bombs" at critical times of
year with robbing and collapsing colonies may be a different story.
Anecdotal observations from research apiaries, not from formal
experiments: Highly susceptible unselected bees can get to damaging
levels, collapsing colonies, dead colonies fairly consistently from a
queen introduction in the spring to the the middle or late summer in
southern Louisiana (say March or April to July or August). Highly
resistant colonies kept in the same apiaries or in nearby apiaries
(say one to two miles), same time course from queen introduction to
mite counts, are more often than not observed to simultaneously
maintain very low mite levels. Mongrel (supersedures through several
generations), local "survivors" may have moderate or cycling levels,
may weaken, sometimes die, but they do not go through the inevitable
demise of highly susceptible sources.
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