Subject: | |
From: | |
Reply To: | |
Date: | Wed, 20 Jan 2010 08:36:58 -0500 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
Parts/Attachments: |
|
|
> I was speaking of the supply and demand curve which is influenced by the
> real or anticipated supply of bees available for the almond pollination.
> Certainly the Aussie package option has influenced that curve and Big Ag
> Concerns are very familiar with those concepts that also affect commodity
> prices etc.
Brian, you are very right. in a simplified case. Where those lines are
drawn, though, depends also on perceived risk.
The problem is that excess volatility wrecks a market and causes chaos.
This particularly true in a thin and illiquid market with delivery
deadlines. If we did not have CCD events and other large die-offs, and
deadlines, the basic theory would apply, but in extraordinary cases with a
wildcard like CCD, we need to go further in analysis and decide how many
businesses we can afford to lose.
As it is, good beekeepers are bankrupted when they have a sudden
irreplaceable loss with a deadline coming up unless they have an escape
hatch.
Frankly, I don't know how some of these guys keep on going. Often, I think
it is with the help of friends. I am amazed at how close some of these
commercial guys are. Although they are competitors, they act like brothers.
At any rate, the importation serves to smooth fluctuations and prevent an
even larger boom and bust cycle in pollination fees, and ensures that the
job gets done.
(MacDonalds again, headed for the Keys).
***********************************************
The BEE-L mailing list is powered by L-Soft's renowned
LISTSERV(R) list management software. For more information, go to:
http://www.lsoft.com/LISTSERV-powered.html
Access BEE-L directly at:
http://community.lsoft.com/scripts/wa-LSOFTDONATIONS.exe?A0=BEE-L
|
|
|